|
Martin
Khor, Director, Third World Network, discusses ways on which countries
of the South can develop an effective voice to protect and promote
Southern people's interests in the international system.
GLOBALISATION
has become one of the most important "catch- phrases" of our times,
and justifiably so, because it is a powerful process that is greatly
influencing or even determining the shape and nature of the development
process of Southern countries.
Issues
and policies that for a long time have been the prerogative of Third
World national governments are increasingly decided by or through
international agencies such as the World Bank, the International
Monetary Fund and the World Trade Organisation. International negotiations
in the economic sphere (such as the Uruguay Round) or on environmental
issues, such as the Conventions on Biological Diversity and on Climate
Change, bind participating countries to national policy changes
that have immense economic and political significance.
The
recent series of major United Nations conferences, on environment
and development (1992), human rights (1993), population (1994),
social development (1995) and women (1995), have also produced voluminous
declarations and programmes of action. These may not have the same
kind of legal clout as a binding international agreement, but they
do have importance in setting agendas, policy frameworks and priorities.
Underlying
the globalisation of policy-making is the internationalisation of
economic, social and cultural forces and models. The transnational
companies have vastly expanded their activities and markets, and
now account for an overwhelming share of worldwide production and
distribution. Some developing countries have been able to take advantage
of this trend by expanding their own exports. Many, however, face
the threat of their local industries, farms and practices being
overwhelmed by imports that are either cheaper or made more fashionable
through heavy marketing. To give a simple example, breastfeeding
has been significantly displaced by bottle feeding (an inferior
and, in Third World conditions, an often unhealthy substitute) due
to milk companies' sales promotion in many developing countries.
The
information technology revolution has also facilitated the internationalisation
of financial activities, linking up banking systems, foreign exchange
and equity markets. A fault developing in one part of the world
can have widespread repercussions elsewhere. This was recently demonstrated
when three major financial problems erupted in the space of the
three months, December 1994 to March 1995: the Mexico peso devaluation,
the Barings Bank collapse due to derivatives- speculation losses,
and the sharp fall in the US dollar in March.
If there
is fair participation in decision-making and in enjoyment of benefits
in the globalisation process, there would perhaps be better grounds
for optimism. However, there is no in- built mechanism in the international
system to ensure such fairness. In fact, given the present lopsided
international power structures, it is clear that major Northern governments
and institutions dominate the international agencies and processes
that shape the globalisation process and determine its outcome. As
a result, many developing countries do not obtain a fair share of
globalisation's benefits, and some actually suffer net losses.
The
World Bank and IMF have a powerful influence over the policies of
a majority of developing countries that take their loans. As votes
are weighted by equity shareholding, the governance structure is
skewed towards their major shareholders in the North. The General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, and its successor the World Trade
Organisation, are dominated by the major trading entities, with
the Southern countries having a minor say.
In
the United Nations General Assembly and its agencies (such as the
General Secretariat, ECOSOC and UNCTAD) where the governing system
favours the South (which forms the majority), there has been a downgrading
of the importance of their social and economic policy or implementation
activities. This has been achieved by the watering down by Northern
countries of the positions put forward by the Southern countries
or their umbrella organisation, the Group of 77; by the non-implementation
or selective implementation of action proposals and programmes agreed
upon by consensus; and by eliminating or downsizing those aspects
of UN programmes that are of practical importance (such as the commodity
agreements negotiated and operated under UNCTAD).
The
strength of the North is based mainly on its economic power, but
is also greatly facilitated by the general weakness and lack of
effective coordination of the South in negotiating fora and in international
institutions. In cases where developing countries have united and
put forward concrete proposals, they have been able to defend and
promote their joint interests, at least to a significant degree.
In cases where preparations are weak or coordination is absent,
the Northern countries have been able to dominate the negotiations
and policy outcomes.
This
demonstrates the importance of policy coordination among developing
countries, or PCDC. Indeed, PCDC is and should be a very important
component of TCDC (technical cooperation among developing countries).
Without policy coordination, Southern countries will stand to lose
out in the formulation of international policy frameworks that will
have important impact on their national policies. Given the present
state of the world, Northern governments will strive to attain negotiating
results that maximise their own interests. That this could be at
the expense of the poor in developing countries may be only a secondary
consideration, if at all. It is the responsibility of each Southern
country, and Southern governments working in concert, to come up
with a united position to collectively defend and promote Southern
interests.
The
following are examples of how Southern policy coordination is needed
in some negotiating fora.
In
the area of environment and development, the Group of 77 played
a relatively active and effective role throughout the UN Conference
on Environment and Development (UNCED) process. Assisted by some
Southern non-governmental organisations and NGO networks, it was
able to transform what might have been a conference focusing solely
or mainly on the environment into one that linked the environment
crisis to development issues such as poverty, basic human needs
and the inequitable international economic structures.
UNCED
eventually established the principle of "common but differentiated
responsibilities", by which the North being more responsible for
the ecological crisis would bear a correspondingly greater burden
for tackling the crisis. Unfortunately the pledges made by the North
at the Rio Summit of 1992 for greater aid have fallen flat. In the
follow-up process, centred on the Commission on Sustainable Development,
the Southern countries have to continue to coordinate their policies
so as to protect against the erosion of the Rio principles, keep
in front the need for the North to keep its commitment to partnership
with the South on development issues, whilst at the same time also
promote the transition to more environmentally sound development
in the South.
In
the Biodiversity Convention, the Southern countries (again aided
by many NGOs from both South and North) have succeded so far in
keeping the links between nature conservation and development issues
such as sovereign right over resources, equitable sharing of benefits
from the sustainable use of biodiversity, the proper and fair treatment
of intellectual property, and the recognition of the rights of farmers
and indigenous people to their knowledge and their products. Southern
countries under the Group of 77 have also pushed for a biosafety
protocol to protect against the environmental and health risks of
biotechnology applications, and for a fair mechanism to fund the
Convention. These issues have great economic as well as ecological
importance. The Southern countries' views have been opposed by some
major Northern countries, and a greater degree of coordination and
preparation is required in order to further the arguments of the
South.
In
the area of economics, the Southern countries have not done as well.
The most important negotiations of the past decade were in the Uruguay
Round under GATT auspices, from 1986 to 1994. There was significant
policy coordination among a sizable number of developing countries
in the beginning and middle parts of the Round, resulting in spirited
and effective efforts to protect Southern interests in the crucial
new issues of intellectual property rights, trade-related investment
measures and services. However, at the final stage, this coordination
greatly weakened, and the last years of the negotiations were dominated
by a few major trade entities (mainly the US and the European Union),
with developing countries having to accept their decisions. As a
result, the results of the Round are assymetrical, with most of
the benefits accruing to a few countries, and the possibility that
some of the poorer countries (especially in Africa) will suffer
net losses.
The
Uruguay Round redefined the scope of the meaning and definition
of "trade." Through the prefix "trade-related", many critical economic
areas including policies on foreign investments, on technology and
intellectual property, and on the services sector, have now been
brought into the framework of international trade relations and
trade law. The World Trade Organisation will possibly emerge as
the most powerful economic organ in the world, with the potential
to determine economic policies and laws at national level. In the
post-Uruguay Round process, there will be continuous negotiations
on a whole range of issues, including the continuation of unfinished
Uruguay Round business; new issues (such as trade and environment,
labour standards, competition policy, investment code) put in the
WTO agenda by the North; and general and institutional issues.
There
is an urgent need for Southern countries to conduct research into
all these areas: firstly at their capitals, to determine how various
proposals would affect their national interests; and secondly, as
a collective grouping of countries, to decide how best to negotiate
to promote the interests of the South as a whole. The developed
countries, individually as well as collectively through such umbrella
agencies as the European Union and the OECD, have hundreds or thousands
of top calibre researchers formulating and assessing the effects
of different policy positions in international trade negotiations.
The Southern countries may not be able to match this, but they must
also make a decision to set aside adequate financial and manpower
resources to come up with basic well-considered policy positions,
which can then be put forward persuasively at the negotiating table.
This is an investment that is well worth the initial cost. Without
it, Southern countries may continue to have to accept the proposals,
definitions and policy frameworks put forward by the well- prepared
North. These new definitions and proposals are likely to curb the
competitive position of the South, and thus marginalise it further
in the trading system.
Another
area for future negotiations comprises the two related subjects
of external debt and structural adjustment policies. Due to debt
servicing difficulties, over 80 developing countries in the past
15 years have been the subject of structural adjustment programmes
(SAPs) designed principally by the IMF and World Bank as conditionalities
for debt rescheduling and new loans. The SAPs have come under heavy
criticism from NGOs for depressing growth and living standards and
for cutting back on health, education and social programmes in developing
countries. The Non-Aligned Movement has also recently produced an
expert report, endorsed by Economic Ministers, calling for a comprehensive
once-for-all solution to the debt problem, that would entail debt
elimination or reduction for severely indebted countries.
In
the process for the recently concluded World Summit for Social Development
(March 1995), measures for debt relief and modification of structural
adjustment policies, were among the most important issues under
discussion. For the first time, the negative effects of SAPs and
the need for giving greater prominence to social goals in SAP priorities
were recognised at an important UN Conference. With the momentum
built up at the Social Summit, there are potential opportunities
to make further progress on debt relief, and to improve or change
the terms of loan conditionalities through a redesign of structural
adjustment and the widening of economic and social policy options
for developing countries. These opportunities can be pursued through
the follow-up process of the Social Summit, through the General
Assembly and Ecosoc, and through initiatives such as the Agenda
for Development. Debt relief and changes to loan conditionalities
can also be taken up from within the Bretton Woods institutions
themselves, if the delegations of developing countries in them can
coordinate their policies better.
The
UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) had been established
as a UN organ to strengthen the capacities of developing countries
to develop their national economies and to have a more meaningfuol
participation in the world economic system. UNCTAD's efforts to
improve the terms of trade for Third World commodities through commodity
agreements and a Common Fund for Commodities had once seemed promising,
but these were rendered less effective through lack of interest
by Northern countries. The useful role of UNCTAD, as a research
facility and a negotiating forum with a mandate to assist developing
countries improve their status in the international economy, has
been gradually eroded, especially with the greater powers extended
to the GATT and WTO and to the Bretton Woods institutions. There
have even been recent suggestions (notably by the Commission on
Global Governance) to close down UNCTAD. These suggestions have
been criticised by the Group of 77. However, the very fact that
the closure of UNCTAD can be proposed shows how eroded is the position
of the South in international affairs.
In
order to strengthen agencies like UNCTAD that play an important
role in servicing the needs of the South, there has to be greater
policy coordination among developing countries to defend and build
up the United Nations as a legitimate and effective forum for international
economic and social policy making. Otherwise even more of the UN's
role and powers will be eroded, and international decision making
on economic and social matters will reside wholly in institutions
within which developing countries currently have little influence.
Technical
cooperation among developing countries is important to develop and
expand economic and technical links within the South, so that countries
of the South can progressively improve their position as individual
countries as well as collectively as a grouping of presently disadvantaged
players in the world economic system.
However,
technical projects alone are not sufficient in South-South cooperation.
In a rapidly globalising world, key decisions affecting every Southern
country are increasingly taken at the international level, through
international processes such as the Uruguay Round and UN-sponsored
Conventions and conferences, and through global institutions such
as the WTO, World Bank, IMF and the UN and its agencies.
These
global processes and institutions generate international laws, policies,
programmes and opinions that have great influence over the economic,
social and cultural life of Southern countries. Full participation
in these processes of Southern countries, individually as well as
collectively through groupings like the Group of 77 and the Non
Aligned Movement, is more and more essential. And to be effective,
Southern participation must be backed up by careful preparation,
requiring comprehensive information, in-depth research, the knowledge
and political backing of political leaders and Ministries in the
capitals, and negotiating skills at the various international fora.
Compared
to the Northern countries, which have well- qualified research and
policy capacity in their capitals and sophisticated coordinating
mechanisms through umbrella Northern agencies such as the OECD (Organisation
for Economic Cooperation and Development), the South is at present
weak, individually and collectively. The Group of 77 lacks a research
facility or a permanent secretariat, and is unable to have a longterm
plan or strategy with positions worked out in advance of international
meetings and negotiations. In the past, it has been able to succeed
to some degree in promoting Southern interests, as in the UNCED
process.
However,
ad hoc preparatory and coordinating measures are insufficient, given
the proliferation of international meetings and the increasing complexity
of international negotiations. In some important negotiations, such
as the Uruguay Round, and in key fora such as the WTO, IMF and World
Bank, the South's negotiating capacity is weak and in urgent need
for upgrading to prevent it from being further marginalised.
The
time has come for Southern countries to make a political commitment
to policy coordination among themselves, and to generate the human
and financial resources to make it work, so that the South as a
whole can have the effective voice it requires to protect and promote
Southern peoples' interests in the international system.
Top |